Prague Economic Papers - Latest articles

Show: Order by: Page size:
Topics:

Results 1 to 30 of 65:

Digital Payment Channels and Fintech Performance in Kosovo: An Econometric Analysis Using HAC-GMMOriginal contributions, Original article, Research article

Nexhat Kryeziu, Esat Durguti

Prague Economic Papers 2026, 35(3):446-475 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.914  

This research paper analyzes the impact of digital payment channels on fintech performance in Kosovo using monthly data from the Central Bank of Kosovo for the period 2018-2024. The analysis covers several key categories of financial transactions, specifically Credit Transfers in Paper Form (CTPF) and in Electronic Form (CTEF), Electronic Funds Transfers at Point of Sale (EFTPOS), Automated Teller Machine (ATM) based operations, including ATM Cash Withdrawals (ATMW) and ATM Deposits (ATMD), Credit Transfers via ATMs (CTATMs), as well as Cash Withdrawals and Card Payments at POS terminals (CWPOS and CPPOS). The empirical methodology relies on Ordinary...

Does Consumer Confidence Matter? Reconsidering the Relationship between Interest Rates and Dollarization in TurkeyOriginal contributions, Original article, Research article

Banu Demirhan

Prague Economic Papers 2026, 35(3):416-445 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.915  

This study examines deposit and credit dollarization in Turkey, with a particular focus on whether consumer confidence moderates the relationship between interest rates and dollarization. Using monthly data from January 2012 to May 2025, we estimate an autoregressive distributed lag model as the main empirical framework and assess robustness using fully modified ordinary least squares, dynamic ordinary least squares, and canonical cointegration regression. The empirical findings indicate a conditional association between interest rates and dollarization, which should be interpreted cautiously, given potential simultaneity and endogeneity concerns....

Do supplier analysts react to customers' data asset information disclosure?Original contributions, Original article, Research article

Rumeng Yang, Delin Wu

Prague Economic Papers 2026, 35(3):372-415 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.916  

This study examines whether customers' data asset information disclosure improves suppliers' analysts forecast accuracy. Using data from Chinese firms between 2010 and 2024, this study uses text analysis to measure the degree of data asset information disclosure. The findings suggest that more customer data asset disclosure reduces analyst forecast errors for supplier firms, thereby improving analyst forecast accuracy for supplier firms. The results are robust to various endogeneity and robustness checks. The mechanism analysis shows that customer data asset disclosure improves forecast accuracy by enhancing information transparency and signaling customers'...

Determinants of Saving of Institutional Sectors of the National Economy in the Czech RepublicOriginal contributions, Original article, Research article

Kateøina ©ímová

Prague Economic Papers 2026, 35(3):345-371 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.913  

The paper analyses the saving of individual sectors in the national economy. The analysis at this level is crucial to consider the specificities of each institutional sector. First, saving are described from the perspective of Keynesian economic theory, followed by a literature review. Next, the sectors of the national economy are briefly defined, particularly the concept of saving in each sector is presented. The analysis concludes with an empirical verification of the determinants of sectoral saving by using ARDL models reparameterized into EC. The results of the models show that the sectoral determinants are different and confirm the necessity of...

US-China Tensions and Financial Spillovers: Uncovering Asymmetric TVP-VAR TransmissionOriginal contributions, Original article, Research article

Veysel Karagöl, Deniz Sevinç, Ayºegül ªahin

Prague Economic Papers 2026, 35(3):314-344 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.917  

This study investigates the transmission of geopolitical tensions between the United States and China to their stock markets within a dynamic and asymmetric framework. The analysis uses monthly returns of the S&P 500 and the Shanghai Composite Index, along with the log-difference of the US-China Tension Index (UCT), covering the period 1993-2024. An asymmetric TVP-VAR model is applied to capture time-varying and directional spillovers arising from positive and negative tension shocks. At the same time, a quantile-VAR connectedness analysis is employed for robustness. The results reveal pronounced asymmetries in spillover dynamics. Increases in...

The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on accounting in hotels: employees' perceptions in North Macedonia and SerbiaOriginal contributions, Original article, Research article

Aleksandra Mitroviæ, Marija Magdincheva Shopova, Sne¾ana Kne¾eviæ, Marko Mila¹inoviæ, Jasmina Ognjanoviæ, Malèi Grivec, Zorana Agiæ

Prague Economic Papers 2026, 35(2):285-313  

The information technology development has led to its application in numerous areas of business. Therefore, due to the perceived advantages, the use of different software solutions and applications is becoming more and more frequent. Artificial intelligence (AI) also finds its application in accounting. The aim of this paper is to consider and define the answer to the following question: Does the AI use affect accounting implications in hotels in North Macedonia (NM) and the Republic of Serbia (RS)? The research results point to the existence of significant differences between the use of AI software in accounting in NM and RS. A significant difference...

Methods for assessing quality of life: an application to Czech municipalities with extended jurisdictionOriginal contributions, Original article, Research article

Jakub Hanousek

Prague Economic Papers 2026, 35(2):249-284 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.907  

The goal of this article is to measure the objective dimension of quality of life in municipalities with extended jurisdiction in the Czech Republic. Quality of life is measured by four composite indicators. Composite indicators were calculated using two methods based on several socio-economic factors. The methods for calculating composite indicators are the weighted sum approach and the benefit-of-the-doubt method, which is based on linear programming. In the weighted sum method, the target population groups were distinguished by determining different weights for individual socio-economic factors. The article also analyzes the effect of living on...

Minority Compensation and Discount Rate Practice: Evidence from 223 Czech Squeeze-Outs (2005-2024)Original contributions, Original article, Research article

Tomá¹ Pod¹kubka, Jakub Novák, Petr Jablonskı

Prague Economic Papers 2026, 35(2):221-248 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.912  

Analyzing 223 Czech squeeze-out valuation reports from 2005-2024, this study examines discount rate construction as a governance mechanism influencing minority compensation. We document the persistent dominance of the CAPM model, a shift toward domestic risk-free anchors, and evolving practices in WACC iteration and parameter transparency. Central to this study is the introduction of a novel 12-parameter 'Transparency Index' used to statistically test the verifiability of valuation reports over time, while also analyzing the applied company-independent equity market risk premium. Our findings reveal a statistically significant rise in report transparency,...

How the Terra-LUNA Collapse Reshaped Tether's Role in Crypto Market VolatilityOriginal contributions, Original article, Research article

Ekin Tokat, Hakki Arda Tokat

Prague Economic Papers 2026, 35(2):196-220 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.909  

This study examines the evolving role of Tether in cryptocurrency market volatility, particularly in the context of the Terra-LUNA collapse. Using a multivariate asymmetric BEKK-GARCH model, we analyze volatility transmission between Tether's trading volume and the return volatilities of Bitcoin and Ethereum. Unlike prior studies that rely on issuance based measures, we employ trading volume volatility as a proxy for real time stablecoin related liquidity dynamics. The results indicate that, in the pre-collapse period, Tether exhibited a stabilizing association with Bitcoin volatility, consistent with its role as a liquidity buffer. Following the Terra-LUNA...

What Drives the Global Waste Trade? Pollution Haven or Resource HuntingOriginal contributions, Original article, Research article

Dan Liu, Bowen Li, Zijing Zhang, Xinyu Zhang

Prague Economic Papers 2026, 35(2):166-195 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.910  

In recent decades, the cross-border flow of waste has become increasingly active globally, with existing research primarily attributing this trend to the pollution haven hypothesis. This study re-examines the drivers of global waste trade and explores their implications for sustainability. Using panel data from 117 countries between 1996 and 2020, we find that both developed and developing economies import waste products as resources. However, the resource hunting motive declines and shifts toward higher-value waste when importers adopt recycling policies. When developed exporters implement such policies, importers increase trade value due to lower...

Volatility Modelling - What Drives Cee Currency Option Prices?

Piotr Mielus

Prague Economic Papers 2026, 35(1):1-27 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.906  

This paper investigates the drivers of foreign exchange implied volatility in Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. Currencies in non-euro EU countries are particularly sensitive to changes in market sentiment. Risk aversion significantly impacts the implied volatility surface for FX options, making these options crucial for managing skew risk. By analysing option prices, this study identifies co-movements between spot rates, interest rates, and volatilities for specific option strategies. Empirical evidence reveals robust determinants of volatility levels, volatility smiles, and volatility term structures. Applying error correction models...

The impact of traditional and digital financial inclusion on bank profitability: Evidence from Ethiopian commercial banks

Mohammed Jatoro Arebo, Andualem Goshu Mekonnen

Prague Economic Papers 2026, 35(1):121-165 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.904  

While prior research emphasizes the socio-economic benefits of financial inclusion, its implications for bank profitability remain underexplored. This paper employs seven traditional and four digital indicators to create a financial inclusion index through principal component analysis (PCA). To capture potential nonlinearities, quadratic specifications are incorporated within a two-step system generalized method of moments (GMM) framework and validated using the Lind and Mehlum (2010) U-shape test, while Granger causality tests examine directional effects over the 2015-2023 period. Results indicate that traditional financial inclusion positively influences...

The Reverse Banzhaf and Shapley - Shubik Index for SMEs in Slovak Medical Labs

Zuzana Èièková, Monika Ferenèáková, Peter Pe»ko

Prague Economic Papers 2026, 35(1):97-120 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.905  

This study examines the potential for cooperation between traditionally competitive small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the sector 86901 - Medical laboratory services in Slovakia as a strategy to enhance competitiveness in the face of large market players. By building coalitions, SMEs can overcome natural disadvantages, such as limited economies of scale, a lack of capital, or limited access to innovation. In this article, we will focus on the possibilities of applying the Banzhaf and Shapley - Shubik indices, as well as their reverse interpretation, to quantify the individual strength of a player within potential coalition groupings, with...

Technology Exports and Electricity Use in Turkey: Nonlinear Frequency Evidence

Mesut Alper Gezer

Prague Economic Papers 2026, 35(1):56-96 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.908  

This paper investigates the nexus between medium- and high-technology exports and electricity consumption from 2016M1 to 2025M05 in Turkey. Nonlinear features in the data lead the use of a Smooth Transition Regression model that shows entrepreneurial expansion which intensifies electricity demand, while technology exports further increase electricity consumption in the nonlinear regime. Foreign direct investment is observed to reduce energy demand in the high entrepreneurship regime. Both Bootstrap Toda-Yamamoto and Fourier Cumulative Frequency causality tests indicate unidirectional causality from technology exports to electricity use. Moreover, Wavelet...

The Institutional-Economic Nexus in Driving Greenfield FDI to European Countries

¥ubica ©tiblárová

Prague Economic Papers 2026, 35(1):28-55 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.903  

While theoretical perspectives often emphasize the role of high-quality institutions in attracting foreign investors, empirical findings remain rather mixed. This study advances existing research by exploring the interplay between quality of institutions and economic development in driving greenfield foreign direct investment (FDI) in European countries. The results do not suggest that better institutions alone directly help attract FDI in the selected European sample from 2003-2022. However, in more economically developed host countries, institutional quality plays a significant role, whether measured by real GDP per capita or GNI per capita. Further...

Event study methodology in politics - a systematic literature reviewOriginal contributions, Original article, Research article

Dorina Kiss

Prague Economic Papers 2025, 34(4):592-623 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.899  

This paper presents the first systematic literature review of event study methodology applied to political events. Following PRISMA guidelines, 133 studies (1997-2024) were analysed to uncover methodological patterns. The findings show that nearly three-quarters of the papers rely on a single expected return model. The market model accounts for close to one-half of all identified model specifications, indicating its simplicity and practical applicability. Symmetric event windows, mainly shorter configurations like (-1, +1) are preferred; most of the studies test multiple lengths. Estimation periods vary (5-300 trading days), though many papers offer...

Unemployment and Remittances Nexus in Central, Eastern and Southeastern EuropeOriginal contributions, Original article, Research article

Daniela Bojadjieva, Biljana Tashevska, Gunter Merdzan

Prague Economic Papers 2025, 34(4):559-591 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.900  

In existing empirical literature, the effect of remittances has most often been examined in relation to economic growth, poverty reduction, and employment in recipient countries. Unlike previous empirical studies, this paper focuses its analysis on the impact of remittances on unemployment in selected Central, Eastern, and Southeastern European (CESEE) countries from 1998 to 2021, using the New economics of labor migration framework. These countries, which underwent deep economic and political transitions during the 1990s, faced significant challenges associated with high unemployment, particularly among the working-age population who lost their jobs,...

Do Machine Learning Techniques Outperform Autoregressive Distributed Lag Models in Inflation Forecasting?Original contributions, Original article, Research article

Bogdan Oancea, Mihaela Simionescu, Richard Pospisil

Prague Economic Papers 2025, 34(4):495-558 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.898  

Following the COVID-19 pandemic, Romania and other Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries faced some of the highest inflation rates in the European Union, creating a pressing need for accurate short-term forecasts to guide monetary policy. This study compares modern machine learning (ML) methods - Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks, Random Forests (RF) and Support Vector Regression (SVR) - with traditional Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) models in forecasting Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices. Using quarterly data for Romania (2006Q1-2023Q4) and monthly data for nine CEE economies (2006M1-2025M3), we incorporate unemployment...

ESG Resilience Amid Financial Distress: the Role of Board Gender Diversity in EU FirmsOriginal contributions, Original article, Research article

Süreyya Yilmaz Ozekenci, Cansu Unver Erbas, Suzan Dsouza

Prague Economic Papers 2025, 34(4):470-494 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.902  

Investors often view financial distress, defined as a company’s inability to pay its debts on time, as a sign of declining creditworthiness. However, they also consider non-financial data, such as the environmental, social, and governance (ESG) activities of firms, when making decisions. This study investigates the impact of financial distress on ESG scores among European Union (EU) firms, using firm fixed effects (FE) and random effects (RE) models, along with Pooled Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Common Correlated Effects Mean Group (CCEMG), and Augmented Mean Group (AMG) estimators. The panel data covers the years from 2013 to 2023. To examine...

Tax Competition in the Era of Financial Globalization: An Empirical Non-Linear Analysis for European CountriesOriginal contributions, Original article, Research article

İrem Didinmez, Nazmiye Tekdemir, Pelin Varol İyidoğan

Prague Economic Papers 2025, 34(4):442-469 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.901  

The aim of this study is to empirically investigate how financial globalization affects tax competition, focusing on implicit and effective tax rates across 29 European countries over the period 2010-2021. Our linear dynamic panel findings suggest that while financial globalization increases implicit tax rates on labor and consumption, it exerts downward pressure on corporate tax rates. The non-linear analysis further reveals threshold effects, where the influence of financial globalization varies depending on its intensity. These results highlight the critical role of tax policy adjustments in response to globalization, emphasizing the need for international...

Macro and Micro-Institutional determinants of VSMEs' Access to Bank Financing in Morocco: An Empirical Analysis of Monetary Policy, Prudential Risk, and Public Support (2014-2024)Original contributions, Original article, Research article

Adil Boutfssi, Youssef Zizi

Prague Economic Papers 2025, 34(3):408-441 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.896  

This article explores the determinants of bank credit granted to very small, small, and medium-sized enterprises (VSMEs) in Morocco over the period 2014-2024. The study focuses on the combined effects of monetary policy signals, prudential regulation, and government credit guarantees on this segment's access to finance. Using a quantitative approach, the analysis is based on a dataset of 799 lending decisions from two large commercial banks, combined with macroeconomic indicators. The econometric model uses linear regression to estimate the effects of the central bank's policy rate, bank lending rates, risk-weighted assets (RWA), government guarantee...

Did it 'Really' Happen? Cost of Living Inequality in Argentina, 2004-2018Original contributions, Original article, Research article

Gülºah Adam

Prague Economic Papers 2025, 34(3):378-407 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.894  

Measures of inequality typically rely on price indices formulated for a representative consumer, falsely assuming an identical consumption basket across households within the country. However, consumption patterns differ across households; hence, the changes in price levels might have different impacts on households at different points in the income distribution. To challenge this prevailing assumption and gain a more accurate comprehension of income inequality in Argentina from 2004 to 2018, I constructed income level-specific cost of living indices using the Argentinian Household Expenditure Survey. The results demonstrated that from 2004 to 2012,...

Chasing Discounts, Facing Regret: How FoMO Shapes Consumers' Online Shopping Behavior?Original contributions, Original article, Research article

Fatih Koç, Bekir Özkan, Merve Gaga, İbrahim Halil Efendioğlu, Tamer Baran

Prague Economic Papers 2025, 34(3):347-377 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.895  

This study examines the impact of price consciousness and deal proneness on impulsive buying behavior and the Fear of Missing Out (FoMO) in the context of online clothing shopping, with a particular focus on post-purchase regret. Data were collected from 230 participants through an online survey and analyzed using structural equation modeling (SEM). The findings reveal that price consciousness has a negative impact on both FoMO and impulsive buying behavior, indicating that consumers with higher price sensitivity tend to make more deliberate purchasing decisions. On the other hand, deal proneness has a positive influence on FoMO, which in turn triggers...

Assessing the Early Warning Capabilities of GaR: A Probabilistic Approach to Recession Detection in CEE EconomiesOriginal contributions, Original article, Research article

Gheorghe-Alexandru Tarta

Prague Economic Papers 2025, 34(3):304-346 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.897  

This paper introduces a novel application of Growth-at-Risk (GaR) as an early warning system (EWS) for predicting recessions. By transforming GaR into a classification model, we assess its ability to signal economic downturns across 11 Central and Eastern European (CEE) economies from 2005 to 2024. We compare GaR’s performance with logistic regression across eight forecasting horizons. Our findings indicate that GaR slightly outperforms the logit model when financial conditions are used as the primary predictor. However, when additional factors such as agents’ expectations and financial flows are incorporated, the performance gap narrows....

How do financial inclusion, deposit insurance, and bank concentration affect bank stability?Original contributions, Original article, Research article

Xiangyuan Yu, Yiming Chang, Jiaqi Li

Prague Economic Papers 2025, 34(3):278-303 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.893  

This study investigates the nonlinear interplay between bank stability, financial inclusion, deposit insurance design, and banking concentration, utilizing unbalanced panel data from 122 countries between 2004 and 2021. By constructing novel indices-including a composite Moralhazard index to quantify deposit insurance-related risk incentives, a financial inclusion indicator, and a CONTAGION measure to capture the contagion effect of deposit insurance, we provide fresh empirical insights into the institutional synergies and trade-offs shaping banking system resilience. Our analysis reveals three key results: (1) Threshold effects exist...

Exchange Rate Pass-Through to CEE Inflation: SVAR Approach

Franti¹ek Táborskı

Prague Economic Papers 2025, 34(2):165-186 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.888  

This paper examines exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to prices in Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries, focusing on the Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary, and Romania. We employ a Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model to analyse the transmission of exchange rate shocks to imported, producer, and consumer prices. Results indicate significant heterogeneity in ERPT across countries and price stages. While all countries exhibit higher pass-through for import prices, variations emerge in producer and consumer price responses. Monetary policy credibility and trade openness are found to influence ERPT dynamics. The findings highlight the importance...

Risk-Adjusted Performance of American and European Clean-Energy Portfolios

Dejan ®ivkov, Boris Kuzman, Katica Radosavljeviæ

Prague Economic Papers 2025, 34(2):137-164 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.889  

This study constructs two eight-asset green-energy portfolios, featuring stocks from the U.S. and Europe, to assess which portfolio delivers superior risk-adjusted performance. The analysis utilizes advanced performance metrics, the Stutzer and Omega ratios, with the traditional Sharpe ratio serving as a benchmark. Portfolios are evaluated across both pre-crisis and crisis periods. The results reveal differences in the structures of the Sharpe and Stutzer portfolios, underscoring the Stutzer ratio's ability to improve portfolio performance. Additionally, the Omega portfolio enhances the analysis by allowing the selection of varying thresholds, offering...

Policy uncertainty, inflation, and income inequality nexus: Does financial development matter?

Margaret Rutendo Magwedere, Godfrey Marozva

Prague Economic Papers 2025, 34(2):250-277 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.890  

Reducing income inequality is one of the goals under the Sustainable Development Goals. This study examines the intricate relationship between financial development, policy uncertainty, inflation, and income inequality. Panel data for African countries covering the period 2000-2022 were used in the analysis. The study used the economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index to examine its effects on income distribution. Previous studies indicated the possibility of asymmetric effects of inflation and EPU on income inequality. Hence, a dynamic non-linear Panel ARDL was employed to examine the asymmetric nature of the relationship between these variables. The...

The Effects of Export Diversification and Concentration on Carbon Emissions: Asymmetric Evidence for Türkiye

Burcu Berke, Gülsüm Akarsu, Dilek Temiz

Prague Economic Papers 2025, 34(2):214-249 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.891  

Numerous studies have explored the possible causes of global carbon emissions and climate change; however, the impact of export diversification and concentration on these emissions is a less examined topic in literature. This study investigates the effects of export diversification and concentration on carbon emissions in Türkiye from 1995 to 2018, utilizing the nonlinear ARDL method. The findings indicate that export diversification reduces carbon emissions after accounting for the effects of other control variables, such as renewable energy, levels of inequality, and government size. In this model, an increase in renewable energy, inequality, and...

Taxation of Still Wine in the Czech Republic

Marek ©míd

Prague Economic Papers 2025, 34(2):187-213 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.892  

This paper deals with the taxation of still wine in the Czech Republic. The aim of the paper is to quantify the fiscal impact of the imposition of a non-zero excise duty rate on still wine on excise and value added tax revenue. The paper uses an analytical approach to assess the impacts using data collected on consumption, production and price of wine and elasticity of demand under several alternative tax rates. The results show that taxation of still wine has significant potential to increase tax revenues for public budgets. Tax revenues would increase by an amount between 4.7 and 5.3 billion CZK if the tax rates on still and sparkling wine were aligned....