Prague Economic Papers 2002, 11(2):121-134 | DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.191

Managing economic convergence and financial stability in the czech republic

Oldřich Dědek

Czech National Bank, Na Příkopě 28, CZ - 115 03 Prague 1.

This article addresses the issue of macroeconomic policies in the pre-accession period. The key theme is an assessment of the relationship between the real and nominal convergence of the candidate countries towards the EU. Support for real convergence cannot procced on a long-term basis in contradiction to the nominal convergence criteria. Despite a renewal of growth in 1999, a whole range of persisting structural problems, chiefly in the fiscal area, confirm the benefit of voluntary pursuance of the nominal concergence criteria. Fof the central bank, the inflation criterion is particularly relevant. The issue of catchingup with the EU price level is discussed from this point of view. Neither the theoretical models (the law of one price and the Balassa-Samuelson effect) nor the empirical evidence provide arguments for abandoning the efforts for price stability. The most appropriate monetary policy regime linking the interests of monetary policy and government economic policy is inflation targeting.

Klíčová slova: inflation targeting, accession process, policy mix, nominal and real convergence, price level, Balassa-Samuelson effect, one price law

JEL classification: E23, E31, E52, E61, F02, F15

Zveřejněno: 1. leden 2002  Zobrazit citaci